You open the chart. You see conflicting signals. **Confusion sets in.**
The answer to resolving conflict is your **Daily Bias**. If the Daily Bias is Bullish, the Resistance will fail, and the Support will hold. If you align your intraday trades (M15/M5) with the Daily Bias, your win rate will **skyrocket**. It is like swimming *with* the river current instead of against it.
1. Concept 1: The Draw on Liquidity (DOL)
**Daily Bias** is the **High Probability Direction** for the day. Price only moves for two reasons: 1) To take **Liquidity** (Stop Losses) or 2) To rebalance an **Imbalance** (FVG).
**The Rule:** Look at the Daily Chart. Where is the nearest, most obvious "**Pool of Money**" that price has not yet swept?
- **Previous Daily High (PDH):** A magnet for Buy Stops.
- **Previous Daily Low (PDL):** A magnet for Sell Stops.
- **Equal Highs/Lows:** A massive magnet.
SVG 1: Draw on Liquidity (DOL) Determines Directional Bias
2. Concept 2: Strong vs. Weak Market Structure
Not all structural highs or lows are equal. Institutional players target the **Weak** structure and defend the **Strong** structure.
- Strong Low: A Low that **caused a Break of Structure** (BOS), generating a new high. This low should be **defended**.
- Weak High: A High that failed to break a Low or failed to create a new BOS. The market should **Target (Break)** this weak high.
Determination: If you identify a **Weak High** on the Daily chart, your bias is **Bullish**, and the DOL is that Weak High.
SVG 2: Strong vs. Weak Highs/Lows (Institutional Structure)
3. The Daily Bias Execution Checklist
The **Previous Day's High (PDH)** and **Low (PDL)** are critical daily liquidity zones. They guide trend continuation (Scenario A) or reversal (Scenario B).
- **Scenario A: Expansion (Continuation):** Yesterday was a strong directional candle. **Bias:** Expect price to **retrace slightly** and then **Break the PDH** (or PDL) for continuation.
- **Scenario B: The Sweep (Reversal):** Price runs aggressively above the PDH but fails to close decisively above it (leaves a wick). **Bias:** Liquidity has been taken. Reversal likely. **Plan:** Sell the fakeout.
SVG 3: Daily Bias Execution Checklist
4. Aligning Timeframes and Risk Control
Once you have the Daily Bias, drop to the H1/M15 chart. This is your most powerful filter, which can eliminate up to 50% of your losing trades.
- Bias UP: Only look for Bullish Order Blocks or FVG to Buy on the lower timeframe. **Ignore all Sell signals.**
- Bias DOWN: Only look for Bearish Order Blocks or FVG to Sell. **Ignore all Buy signals.**
**Unclear Bias:** If the Daily chart is consolidating (messy wicks), the professional move is to **Do not trade**. When the compass is spinning, you wait for the market to break the range and show its hand.
Final Thoughts
Trading without a **Daily Bias** is like driving with your eyes closed. Start every morning by asking: *"Where is the money (Liquidity)?"* Once you know where the money is, you know where the price is going. This knowledge forms the foundation of a **risk-first strategy**. Monitor the structural flow of the market via the Realtime Market Dashboard.
