AMD Cycle Explained: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution Risk

SMC • Market Structure • Risk Management • Published

You were not wrong about the direction; you were just a victim of the **Market Cycle**. Every single day, algorithms follow a specific 3-step script known as **AMD** or **The Power of Three** (**Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution**).

Understanding this cycle allows you to stop being the **"Liquidity"** and start trading with the House.


1. The Institutional AMD Cycle

This cycle governs daily price action, moving from consolidation to engineered expansion.

SVG 1: The Daily AMD Cycle (Phases of Institutional Order Flow)

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THE DAILY AMD CYCLE ACCUMULATION Asian Range MANIPULATION (The Trap / Judas Swing) DISTRIBUTION (Real Trend)

2. The Manipulation Phase: Judas Swing and Liquidity

The **Manipulation** phase (often the **Judas Swing**) is a sudden, aggressive move in the **opposite** direction of the true trend, designed to push the price down to trigger retail Sell Stops (Liquidity).

3. The OHLC Secret and Risk Rule

Every single Daily Candle reveals this AMD story. The **Low** is typically created by the **Manipulation** (fake drop) and the **High** by the **Distribution** (true rally).

SVG 3: OHLC Secret and Discount Pricing (Risk Filter)

OHLC SECRET: DISCOUNT BUY ZONE DAILY OPEN PRICE MANIPULATION (Low of Day) DISCOUNT BUY ZONE RISK RULE: Buy Below the Open Price.

4. AMD Strategy and Execution

**Discipline** is key: **Do not chase** the initial move. **Wait for the drop** (Manipulation) before entering.

SVG 2: The Bullish AMD Setup (Execution Checklist)

THE BULLISH AMD SETUP 1. Identify Asian Range High & Low. 2. Wait for price to BREAK LOW (Manipulation). 3. Wait for M15 shift back UP (CHOCH). 4. Enter on the retest of the Order Block. DO NOT CHASE WAIT FOR THE DROP

Final Thoughts

The **AMD cycle** is the heartbeat of the market. Next time you open your chart, ask yourself: *"Are we in Accumulation, Manipulation, or Distribution?"* If you can't identify the phase, do not trade. You are likely in the Accumulation phase, waiting to be chopped up. Monitor the structural flow of the market via the Realtime Market Dashboard.


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Muhammad Raffasya
Written by Muhammad Raffasya — Retail Gold Trader

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Disclaimer: Educational purposes only — Not financial advice.